Lynne Sladky/Associated Press
Bruce Arians, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
We suppose it’s possible that 2019 could be enough of a disaster in Tampa for the no-nonsense Arians to retire for the third time in eight years. But the Buccaneers know this’ll take some time and they caught a big fish in Arians. They won’t throw it back.
If Bucs general manager Jason Licht were to fire Arians after just one season on the job, Licht would probably show up for work to find that his key card no longer works.
Bill Belichick, New England Patriots
Belichick really deserves his own category. The six-time Super Bowl champion’s proverbial seat is located permanently at the Vostok Station in Antarctica, which, according to Scientific American, is the coldest place on Earth.
When his coaching career ends, it’ll be his decision.
Pete Carroll, Seattle Seahawks
After missing the playoffs for the first time during the Russell Wilson era in 2017, Carroll bought himself several years’ worth of rope by leading a depleted Seahawks team back to the postseason last year. It was the seventh consecutive winning season for the league’s oldest head coach.
His time in Seattle will almost certainly end with a retirement, not a pink slip.
Brian Flores, Miami Dolphins
One-and-done seasons happen, even in ridiculous cases in which coaches have inherited bad teams. But the Dolphins have been gutting their roster, and their lack of action at key positions (Ryan Fitzpatrick is slated to start at quarterback!) indicates they know 2019 is a lost cause.
That probably guarantees Flores more than one season regardless of whether the Dolphins are the worst team in the NFL this year.
Anthony Lynn, Los Angeles Chargers
Lynn has put together back-to-back winning seasons since taking over as the franchise relocated from San Diego, so he’s gotta be pretty damn safe entering Year 3 on the job. Dude’s coming off a 12-win season in which the Bolts finally overcame their allergy to the division-rival Chiefs and then won a playoff game in Baltimore.
Even if the Chargers abruptly fall on their face in 2019, Lynn will likely get a chance to fix that in 2020.
Sean McVay, Los Angeles Rams
Teams with head coaching vacancies just spent several weeks drooling over candidates who had any connection at all to McVay, who won Coach of the Year as a 31-year-old in 2017 and then took his team to the Super Bowl as a 32-year-old in 2018.
He could suddenly go 0-16 as a 33-year-old in 2019 but would still retain his job in L.A.
Matt Nagy, Chicago Bears
Nagy has young quarterback Mitchell Trubisky on the right track, but that’s just part of the reason he was Coach of the Year in 2018. The 40-year-old took a team that hadn’t experienced a winning season since 2012 and immediately led it to 12 wins and the playoffs, where they might have had a run in them if not for that whole Cody Parkey thing.
Not even a significant sophomore hiccup would jeopardize his job.
Sean Payton, New Orleans Saints
There’s a feeling that when the longest-tenured NFL head coach not named Belichick departs New Orleans, he’ll do so on his own terms. Seven double-digit-win seasons and a Super Bowl victory in a 13-year span will do that, especially considering that one of those seasons was lost as a result of his Bountygate suspension.
And don’t forget, if not for an abysmal blown call, Payton would be coming off another Super Bowl appearance.
Doug Pederson, Philadelphia Eagles
Fourteen months ago this week, Pederson delivered the city of Philadelphia its first-ever Vince Lombardi Trophy and its first NFL championship since 1960. And he fought through the hangover to sneak into the postseason and win another playoff game in 2018.
He’s not immune to a future firing just yet, but he’s probably bought himself about a decade.
Frank Reich, Indianapolis Colts
Few expected Reich’s Colts to take off as quickly as they did in his first year on the job, but the 57-year-old’s innovative offense was effective from the get-go and only got better over the course of what was a breakout/comeback season for quarterback Andrew Luck.
Throw in that Reich got Indy back to the playoffs for the first time in four years and led it to a road postseason victory over the division-rival Texans, and this is a no-brainer. He’s got the job for years to come.
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